← EFL Championship 2008-09 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Nott'm Forest win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Nott'm Forest |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1747.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1535.49 | 1514.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.28 | -1.65 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 58.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.28 |
| travel km | — | 119.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |