β EFL Championship 2008-09 Β· Wed, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: C Boyeson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Crystal Palace win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1744.00 | 527.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1522.16 | 1543.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.27 | -32.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 55.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.80 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.45 |
| travel km | β | 302.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |