β EFL Championship 2007-08 Β· Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Riley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Bristol City win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 2180.00 | 9605.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1602.92 | 1565.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.19 | -35.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 72.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.80 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |