← EFL Championship 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Burnley win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 78.00 | 1418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1499.11 | 1491.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.44 | -42.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 50.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.80 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.75 |
| travel km | — | 325.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |