← EFL Championship 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: U Rennie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 40% | 2.37 |
| Watford win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1588.45 | 1584.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.15 | -1.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| league points | 65.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 9.40 |
| state index | 1.23 | 0.13 |
| travel km | — | 233.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |