β EFL Championship 2007-08 Β· Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M Jones
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Southampton win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| coach days | β | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1528.79 | 1486.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.93 | -2.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 52.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 6.80 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.58 |
| travel km | β | 141.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |