← EFL Championship 2007-08 · Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Joslin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Watford win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 660.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1557.44 | 1583.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.34 | -6.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 58.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |