β EFL Championship 2007-08 Β· Sat, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: K Stroud
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Bristol City win | 33% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | β | 9577.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1518.52 | 1587.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.54 | -9.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.00 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |