← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Mason
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Luton win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | — | 1527.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1393.89 | 1636.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.73 | 9.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 40.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 14.80 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.85 |
| travel km | — | 342.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |