← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Joslin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 49% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Coventry win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 1069.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1494.62 | 1447.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.18 | -41.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 57.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.20 |
| state index | 0.33 | -1.09 |
| travel km | — | 156.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |