← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Crystal Palace win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crystal Palace | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1537.15 | 1577.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.44 | -6.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 59.00 | 81.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 192.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |