← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke win | 47% | 1.95 |
| Colchester win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stoke | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 1823.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1580.68 | 1581.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.91 | 49.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| league points | 69.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 12.80 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |