← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S Tanner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southend win | 55% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Luton win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southend | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1438.64 | 1373.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.97 | -27.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| league points | 42.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 7.40 |
| state index | -1.07 | -1.56 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |