← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Leeds win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 871.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1564.67 | 1464.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.04 | 28.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 66.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.60 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.03 |
| travel km | — | 319.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |