← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Armstrong
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Southend win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 12 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 324.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1489.13 | 1445.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.14 | -40.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 58.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.98 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.80 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |