← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Tue, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Leicester win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 26 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 4155.00 | 1963.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1438.17 | 1587.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -53.19 | -9.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 47.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.60 |
| state index | -1.40 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 51.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |