← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Tue, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Norwich win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 1050.00 | 4308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1474.08 | 1490.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.17 | 10.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 51.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.40 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.03 |
| travel km | — | 269.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |