← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Luton win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Plymouth win | 33% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| coach days | — | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1386.48 | 1480.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.92 | -18.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 9.40 |
| state index | -1.57 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |