← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I Williamson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Ipswich win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 1656.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1497.17 | 1584.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.25 | 6.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 54.00 | 78.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.40 |
| state index | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 199.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |