β EFL Championship 2006-07 Β· Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G Laws
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 39% | 2.37 |
| Stoke win | 34% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | β | 1809.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.38 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1507.28 | 1586.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.14 | 28.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 63.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 7.60 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.46 |
| travel km | β | 182.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |