← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Booth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Southampton win | 26% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 13 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 1960.00 | 864.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1579.87 | 1572.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.14 | 12.22 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 74.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.20 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| travel km | — | 177.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |