← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Mon, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E Ilderton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Coventry win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1588.83 | 1476.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.74 | 4.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 77.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.60 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.12 |
| travel km | — | 52.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |