← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Laws
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Luton win | 31% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Luton | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 4.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1403.61 | 1572.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.46 | -8.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 13.20 |
| state index | -1.32 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 127.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |