← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N Miller
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
| Burnley win | 14% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1953.00 | 1040.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1608.62 | 1452.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.60 | 2.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| league points | 74.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.40 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.30 |
| travel km | — | 148.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |