← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Fri, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: H Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Leicester win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| coach days | 4144.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1461.45 | 1590.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.53 | 14.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 46.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.20 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.58 |
| travel km | — | 38.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |