← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Tue, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Hall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Plymouth win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 23 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 1036.00 | 306.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1434.22 | 1493.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.22 | -26.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| league points | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.80 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |