β EFL Championship 2006-07 Β· Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Cardiff win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cardiff | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | β | 1491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 2.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1543.56 | 1616.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.16 | 34.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 63.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.80 |
| state index | 0.38 | 1.10 |
| travel km | β | 401.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |