← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Thorpe
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Luton win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| coach days | 1033.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1436.91 | 1400.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.18 | -54.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| league points | 41.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | -1.21 | -1.54 |
| travel km | — | 243.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |