← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Sat, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R Booth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Crystal Palace win | 32% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 289.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1498.92 | 1570.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.17 | 38.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 49.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.00 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |