← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Tue, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: P Taylor
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southend win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Burnley win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southend | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | — | 1015.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1479.17 | 1451.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.52 | -11.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| league points | 35.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.40 | -1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |