← EFL Championship 2006-07 · Tue, Mar 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: R Booth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Norwich win | 32% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 4273.00 | 1928.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1466.91 | 1610.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.95 | -2.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| league points | 44.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.40 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 215.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |