β EFL Championship 2005-06 Β· Sun, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: P Dowd
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Sheffield Weds win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Weds |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1487.08 | 1472.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.23 | 13.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 50.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.00 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |