← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Salisbury
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Millwall win | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 16 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crewe | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 5173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1409.44 | 1433.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.07 | -27.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 39.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |