← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R Booth
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Luton win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 6 |
| 17 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 698.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1455.60 | 1524.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.35 | 11.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.60 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.16 |
| travel km | — | 243.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |