← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Stoke win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | — | 1460.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1382.63 | 1461.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.68 | -1.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| league points | 38.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.32 |
| travel km | — | 276.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |