← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 38% | 2.50 |
| QPR win | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 1906.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1438.52 | 1578.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.82 | -31.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| league points | 50.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.80 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.01 |
| travel km | — | 19.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |