← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Penton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Burnley win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 5165.00 | 690.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1424.38 | 1465.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.33 | 13.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| league points | 37.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.20 |
| state index | -0.78 | -0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |