← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L Probert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Derby win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 1299.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1482.51 | 1500.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.00 | 9.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.20 |
| state index | -1.08 | -0.31 |
| travel km | — | 199.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |