← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Mon, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: C Webster
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 54% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
| Ipswich win | 20% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | — | 1294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1572.49 | 1488.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.38 | -46.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| league points | 74.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.00 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.92 |
| travel km | — | 115.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |