← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Mon, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Woolmer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Millwall win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 502.00 | 5160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1498.24 | 1434.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.48 | -14.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| league points | 52.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 7.20 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |