β EFL Championship 2005-06 Β· Mon, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A Hall
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Luton win | 31% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 10 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Plymouth | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 3973.00 | β |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1503.94 | 1512.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.88 | 5.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.80 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |