β EFL Championship 2005-06 Β· Mon, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Derby win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Hull win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Derby | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1502.11 | 1497.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.36 | 10.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 49.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.80 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.15 |
| travel km | β | 116.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |