← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T Kettle
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| Derby win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| coach days | 1899.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 1.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1445.41 | 1502.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.05 | 16.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.20 |
| state index | -0.87 | -0.01 |
| travel km | — | 176.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |