← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P Walton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Plymouth win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Millwall | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 5158.00 | 3971.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 3.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1433.94 | 1504.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.95 | 5.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| league points | 36.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 11.40 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |