← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Fri, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K Wright
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Watford win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wolves | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 1927.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.09 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1545.50 | 1571.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.29 | -21.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| league points | 60.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.80 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.06 |
| travel km | — | 157.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |