← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sun, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Dean
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Luton win | 22% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1574.64 | 1522.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.95 | -9.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| league points | 72.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.80 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| travel km | — | 26.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |