← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M Atkinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Southampton win | 33% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brighton | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| coach days | — | 493.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1402.67 | 1471.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.15 | -12.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.60 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.58 |
| travel km | — | 91.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |