← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Bates
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reading win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Derby win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reading | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| coach days | 2374.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1708.31 | 1502.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.05 | 30.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| league points | 92.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 2.30 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| state index | 0.87 | 0.20 |
| travel km | — | 169.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |