← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Tue, Mar 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A Marriner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Southampton win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burnley | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| coach days | 665.00 | 482.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1451.72 | 1460.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.86 | -12.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.96 | 2.96 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 11.80 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.64 |
| travel km | — | 325.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |