← EFL Championship 2005-06 · Sat, Mar 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A D'Urso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| Millwall win | 16% | 6.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| coach days | — | 5137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.31 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1610.50 | 1437.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.15 | -0.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 72.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.66 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |